Introduction
Mosquito-borne flaviviruses, including Japanese encephalitis virus (JEV), Murray Valley encephalitis virus (MVEV) and West Nile virus (WNV), present a growing threat to animal and human health in Australia. The recent emergence of JEV in Australia following extended periods of substantial rainfall due to the La Niña weather event prompted an update into the seroprevalence of flaviviruses and better understanding of the influence of meteorological conditions on flavivirus circulation.
Methods
Serum samples collected from a South-East Queensland mare and foal populations between 2020 – 2023 were tested in a pan-flavivirus blocking-ELISA. Positive samples were further subjected to testing for JEV, MVEV and WNV-specific antibodies. Cox proportional hazards analysis was applied using two approaches to determine if the meteorological variables, daily and cumulative rainfall, relative humidity and air temperature are associated with flavivirus seropositivity.
Results
Serological testing revealed JEV was the most prevalent of the three flaviviruses tested for in both mares (63.7%) and foals (61.5%), followed by MVEV (9.1% and 26.9%, respectively) and WNV (0% and 11.5%, respectively). The highest number of seroconversions were observed in 2022 in foals, peaking between March and May. Significant hazard ratios (p < 0.05) were identified for air temperature, relative humidity, and cumulative rainfall. In addition, air temperature with time-lag effect was significantly associated with reduced hazard ratio.
Conclusion
Our findings indicate the significance of meteorological conditions on flavivirus seroconversions in horses and demonstrate seroprevalence to JEV for the first time in South-East Queensland horses.